LAS VEGAS, Nev. (FOX5) – Clark County School District officials credit dropping birth rates to why they expect enrollment to decrease by thousands over the next few years.

CCSD’s total projected enrollment for the 2024-2025 school year is 294,667, according to the District’s Director of Comprehensive Planning Rick Baldwin.

Over the next four to five years, he says they expect that number to drop by about 5,000.

He says the upcoming 11th and 12th grade classes will be the largest graduating classes in the district’s history.

“These are children that were born pre-recession, the 2007, 2008 school year, before the recession happened. Once the recession happened birth rates began declining,” Baldwin says.

This trend is on-track with school district’s across the nation, he says.

The district’s funding is determined based on average quarterly enrollment, CCSD’s Assistant Superintendent of Assessment, Accountability, Research, and School Improvement, Greg Manzi says.

“The more students that are enrolled at the very beginning on that day, the greater the impact is on the funding of our district overall,” Manzi says.

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